The Miami Heat are 8.5-point underdogs heading into a decisive Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Boston Celtics at TD Garden on Thursday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The Heat lead the series 3-1.

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Celtics vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Thursday, May 25, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: TNT
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Venue: TD Garden

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Celtics vs. Heat Score Prediction

  • Prediction: Celtics 116 - Heat 108

Celtics vs Heat Additional Info

Spread & Total Prediction for Celtics vs. Heat

  • Pick ATS: Heat (+ 8.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (215)
  • The Celtics have covered more often than the Heat this season, recording an ATS record of 44-35-3, as opposed to the 30-48-4 mark of the Heat.
  • Miami covers the spread when it is an 8.5-point underdog or more 50% of the time. That's more often than Boston covers as a favorite of 8.5 or more (48.3%).
  • When it comes to topping the total in 2022-23, Miami and its opponents aren't as successful (48.8% of the time) as Boston and its opponents (52.4%).
  • As a moneyline favorite this year, the Celtics are 53-21, a better record than the Heat have posted (8-16) as moneyline underdogs.

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Celtics Performance Insights

  • Boston has been thriving both offensively and defensively this season, ranking fourth-best in the NBA in points per game (117.9) and fourth-best in points allowed per game (111.4).
  • The Celtics rank seventh in the NBA with 26.7 dimes per game.
  • The Celtics have a 37.6% three-point percentage this year (sixth-ranked in NBA), but they've really provided a lift by making 16 treys per game (second-best).
  • Boston is attempting 46.2 two-pointers per game this year, which account for 52% of the shots it has taken (and 62% of the team's baskets). Meanwhile, it is attempting 42.6 treys per contest, which are 48% of its shots (and 38% of the team's buckets).

Heat Performance Insights

  • Offensively Miami is the worst squad in the NBA (109.5 points per game). But defensively it is second-best (109.8 points conceded per game).
  • At 23.8 assists per game, the Heat are 25th in the league.
  • Beyond the arc, the Heat are 16th in the league in 3-pointers made per game (12). They are fourth-worst in 3-point percentage at 34.4%.
  • Miami takes 59.2% percent of its shots from inside the 3-point line, and 40.8% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 69.5% of Miami's baskets are 2-pointers, and 30.5% are 3-pointers.

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